Odds of Jai-5 Getting Hit for a Single Winner Sunday?

Here’s some Jai-5 statistics since its debut in August 2019:

2019 – 2021: 454 Jai-5 events

29x multiple 5/5 winners (6.4%)

120x single 5/5 winner (26.4%)

2022: 17 Jai-5 events, harder to win with more balanced roster

1x multiple 5/5 winners (5.9%) hit on 1st day of season

1x single 5/5 winner (5.9%) hit 3rd day of season with only $488 total wagered

Based on these 471 Jai-5 events overall from 2019 thru 2022 to date, it’s approximately four times more likely there will be a single winner 5/5 vs multiple winners 5/5.

471 total Jai-5 events produced (30) multiple 5/5 winners and (121) single Jackpot winners.

Based on 2022 history to date, it’s unlikely the Jai-5 Jackpot will be hit tomorrow, but should it be hit it’s more likely to pay closer to $10k than $9k to a single winner as the carryover is $8,269.60 and 80% of what’s wagered gets added to the carryover if there’s a single winner.  Through the grapevines I’ve heard there will be some significant action on Jai-5 Sunday, but I would still be surprised if 5/5 is hit with the talent level change for 2022 making it more challenging compared to the past.  It’s definitely a very high risk wager because the most you can collect if you aren’t the single winner 5/5 is 40% of what is wagered if you hold ALL of the consolation tickets for 3/5 or 4/5 (very doubtful it pays 2/5).  In the unlucky event you and one other person each have 5/5, the most you can collect for the 5/5 consolation is 20% of what is wagered that day.

Another point of interest is consolations with 3 of 5 winners paid out on 21.4% of events for 2020 – 2021 while 2022 so far has paid on 3 of 5 winners for 21.4% of events.

Steve M (aka straymar)

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